Last rain for a few days before it gets much colder

The misty conditions persisted all morning on Monday until around 13.30 having thickened towards late morning when visibility was restricted to 500m. The afternoon brightened up as the clouds eased away eastwards that lifted the thermometer to a maximum of 10.7C at 14.33. The wind was light with a maximum gust of just 13mph on one occasion and predominantly from the south. After a low of 5.1C at 21.10 on Monday evening, being 4.8C above average, the temperature recovered a couple of degrees to reach 7.6C at 08.00 on Tuesday. The thick mist and drizzle just before and after midday produced 0.6mm of precipitation.

Tuesday began with moderate levels of cloud that were beginning to thicken ahead of a weather front arriving around midday with this being the last of the rain likely for several days.

The forecast is for the barometric pressure to build again after the weather front passes over today that will prevent further weather fronts arriving for several days, producing a blocking high. However, the downside will be the wind beginning to come from the east or northeast from Thursday that will see temperatures drop by day and night with overnight frosts after a bright and dry day on Wednesday with average temperatures.

High pressure reluctant to give way

Sunday was a glorious day with wall to wall sunshine that saw the thermometer steadily rise to a maximum of 8.2C at 14.07 before falling again. However, even though the light breeze came from the south this high was 0.1C below the long-term average. By 19.00 the temperature had dropped away to 2.0C and a minimum of 1.6C was reached at 00.35, so a brief ground frost, before slowly rising again as cloud drifted across, to reach 5.3C at 08.00 on Monday.

The anticyclone has been holding steady for the past twenty-four hours, in fact it has risen 4mb, with the barometric pressure at 08.00 reading 1024.0mb. This has ensured the rain bands to the west have been kept at bay but unfortunately cloud has drifted across from a very weak weather front crossing the UK this morning, with low a cloud base and moist. misty air, which will take until after midday to slow ease away to the east and the some brightness return this afternoon.

The loss of equivalent moisture from the ground, due to evaporation from ground sources and plant life, amounted to 0.8mm yesterday, which was the highest for a couple of months due to the sunshine that felt quiet warm out of the light breeze.

The JetStream projection indicates that after today the high pressure will ease away tomorrow before reasserting itself towards the end of the week for several days, that due to its position over Scandinavia will see the wind swing into the east or northeast, cold directions from Russia, which sadly will mean several days with depressed temperatures and likely below zero night minima.

High pressure winning the battle – for the moment!

Saturday under the cloud that had drifted in on a south-southeast breeze, that was occasionally brisk with a maximum gist of 16mph, limited any rise in temperature so that a maximum 6.1C at 11.59 was 2.2C below the long-term average. There was little UV light, registering a peak of 0.2 briefly just after midday, that followed 1.1 on the previous day. During the early evening the temperature had begun to slowly fall away, more so in the early hours under a clearer sky, that saw the minimum of 1.9C occur at 08.00 on Sunday, just as the sun was rising above the horizon.

Thanks to the cloud cover and relatively high humidity the equivalent loss of moisture through evaporation was minimal at 0.23mm less than half that recorded on Friday.

Sunday revealed a sky with just thin high cloud as the anticyclone is still influencing our weather and seems reluctant to give away to Atlantic weather fronts to the west of the UK. As a result, the day should be fine with variable sunshine. The barometric pressure at 08.00 was 1020.4mb. As the high pressure edges away it will cause the wind to veer a few degrees, and come from the south today.

January 2025 review

There was a mild start to the new month with a maximum of 11.4C on the 1st, some 4C above average, Arctic air arrived on the 2nd. For three days we endured the very cold air from the Arctic with a maximum of only 0.8C on the 4th followed by a hard overnight air frost that saw the thermometer drop to -4.8C. There was a wind chill that outside on bare skin it felt some 3C cooler.

There was a dramatic change later on the 4th as a deepening low-pressure system pushed ahead of it a warm front. Light sleet and snow fell in the early evening for almost four hours before it turned to light rain and drizzle.

First light at 08.00 on the 5th revealed misty conditions that limited visibility to 300m, and the temperature having risen slowly to 2.9C. However, there was a sudden significant sudden change as the warm air overcame the cold air that by 08.15 the thermometer read 7.8C, a jump of almost 5C in 15 minutes. By 08.30 the thermometer read 9.6C and at 10.00 10.4C. The wind direction had changed overnight from southeast to southwest. The rain and rapid thaw under the sudden warmth meant that the snow had all but disappeared by 10.00.

As the warm, moist air from the Atlantic reached the cold air it rose above it, being lighter, and in doing so the moisture in it condensed and cooled with sleet and snow falling as precipitation for four hours. Over the previous twenty-four hours the barometric pressure had dropped a very significant 30mb as the depression deepened rapidly with a pressure reading of 987.9mb, the lowest pressure since 26th September.

More snow fell on the 7th and 8th that was very reluctant to melt due to the very low temperatures by day and night. The coldest day of the month was the 8th when the thermometer struggled to reach 0.8C being a significant 6.3C below average. Due to the very cold nights combined with the snow lingering in the shade the coldest night was logged early on the 11th when the temperature dropped to -7.5C, the coldest night since 24th January 2023 when -8.0C was recorded.

During this period the extreme cold began to seep into the ground. The temperature at 08.00 on my soil thermometer, at a depth of 5cm, read from the 6th – 5.8C, 1.6C, 0.7C, 0.7C, -1.1C, and -1.8C on the 11th respectively.

A dominant high-pressure system centred over the UK became slow moving from the 12th. Trapped under the dome was a large pool of cool, moist air that produced many days with thick, low cloud and misty, murky conditions. There were two days, the 18th and 19th, when both the maximum and minimum were below average and a diurnal range of around 1C. However, it did bring over a week of dry weather although a few snow grains were observed on the 19th when the air temperature hovered around 1C by day. The other notable feature during many days were the calm conditions when the wind was not strong enough to stir up the stagnant air, in fact there were four days when the anemometer was stationary for many hours and a maximum air movement, couldn’t call it a gust, was in single figures.

There was a dramatic change from the 24th as the fifth named storm of the season arrived, called Storm Éowyn. This storm was caused by Arctic Air over North America merging with warm, moist tropical air from the Bay of Mexico together producing a strong temperature contrast fuelling a very powerful Jet Stream running at over 250mph. This deepened exceptionally quickly and dropped to a significant low pressure of 948mb in Mid-Atlantic on it way to the UK.

Storm Éowyn was quickly followed two days later by Storm Herminia, named by the Spanish Met Office. This arrived with a vengeance on the 26th with torrential rain followed by squall lines during the evening and through into the 27th and wind gusting up to 38mph. The daily precipitation of 26.8mm included hail at 07.47 early on the 27th. The centre of the storm moved very slowly across Ireland then the UK that maintained the disturbed weather for another twenty-four hours.

We had a glancing blow from Storm Ivo on the 29th that was far south over northern France, just gave us a blustery day with rain no closer than Salisbury on its northerly track.

We have had five named storms this year in the season that runs from September to the following August. The previous year of 2023/2024 gave us 12 named storms. In the UK, storms are named by the UK Met Office, in collaboration with the Irish Met Service and Dutch Met Service with names chosen from a public suggestion list, excluding letters like Q, U, X, Y and Z. Storms are listed alphabetically when the final section has been made. Storms are named when a deep depression is likely to cause significant impacts with strong winds, heavy rain or snow.

The letters Q, U, X, Y and Z are never used to name storms due to the paucity of names that begin with these letters. It is only recently that the Met Office started naming storms, the first year was 2015. The idea of naming storms was to improve communication about severe weather by making it easier for the public to track and understand the potential impacts of a specific storm.

The month finished with a ridge of high pressure giving us a fine sunny day on the 30th.

January was much colder than the long-term average being 1.0C below average, interestingly that applied both to the average maximum and average minimum. Analysis shows that there were 19 days when the maximum was below average and 17 nights below average. There was an extremely cold day on the 4th when the thermometer did not rise above 0.8C with the coldest night occurring in the early hours of the 11th when the thermometer dropped to -7.5C. It was the coldest January since 2010, which was a significant 2.2C colder.

Snow was observed falling on 4 days, fog was seen in the morning on 3 days and small hail fell on one day.

The monthly rainfall of 117.6mm was 131% of the long-term average or+28mm.

Two opposing forces on Saturday!

Although the light breeze from the north on Friday pegged back the rise in temperature the maximum of 8.9C was 1.7C above average under the mainly cloudy skies. It was another dry day with the UV light peaking at 1.1 again, still in the ‘Low’ category.

Cloud overnight saw the thermometer drop to 4.6C at 07.25 early Saturday, some 2.9C above the long-term average.

The recent anticyclone is now well to the east over the far Continent but it is still maintaining high pressure over the UK with a reading of 1029.1mb at 08.00. It is opposing a depression in the Atlantic that is trying to edge in bringing weather fronts, however they are being kept at bay for another day at least. The breeze will come predominantly from the southeast or south-southeast today that is currently bringing in high cloud from a cold North Sea.

January 2025 review

There was a mild start to the new month with a maximum of 11.4C on the 1st, some 4C above average, Arctic air arrived on the 2nd. For three days we endured the very cold air from the Arctic with a maximum of only 0.8C on the 4th followed by a hard overnight air frost that saw the thermometer drop to -4.8C. There was a wind chill that outside on bare skin it felt some 3C cooler.

There was a dramatic change later on the 4th as a deepening low-pressure system pushed ahead of it a warm front. Light sleet and snow fell in the early evening for almost four hours before it turned to light rain and drizzle.

First light at 08.00 on the 5th revealed misty conditions that limited visibility to 300m, and the temperature having risen slowly to 2.9C. However, there was a sudden significant sudden change as the warm air overcame the cold air that by 08.15 the thermometer read 7.8C, a jump of almost 5C in 15 minutes. By 08.30 the thermometer read 9.6C and at 10.00 10.4C. The wind direction had changed overnight from southeast to southwest. The rain and rapid thaw under the sudden warmth meant that the snow had all but disappeared by 10.00.

As the warm, moist air from the Atlantic reached the cold air it rose above it, being lighter, and in doing so the moisture in it condensed and cooled with sleet and snow falling as precipitation for four hours. Over the previous twenty-four hours the barometric pressure had dropped a very significant 30mb as the depression deepened rapidly with a pressure reading of 987.9mb, the lowest pressure since 26th September.

More snow fell on the 7th and 8th that was very reluctant to melt due to the very low temperatures by day and night. The coldest day of the month was the 8th when the thermometer struggled to reach 0.8C being a significant 6.3C below average. Due to the very cold nights combined with the snow lingering in the shade the coldest night was logged early on the 11th when the temperature dropped to -7.5C, the coldest night since 24th January 2023 when -8.0C was recorded.

During this period the extreme cold began to seep into the ground. The temperature at 08.00 on my soil thermometer, at a depth of 5cm, read from the 6th – 5.8C, 1.6C, 0.7C, 0.7C, -1.1C, and -1.8C on the 11th respectively.

A dominant high-pressure system centred over the UK became slow moving from the 12th. Trapped under the dome was a large pool of cool, moist air that produced many days with thick, low cloud and misty, murky conditions. There were two days, the 18th and 19th, when both the maximum and minimum were below average and a diurnal range of around 1C. However, it did bring over a week of dry weather although a few snow grains were observed on the 19th when the air temperature hovered around 1C by day. The other notable feature during many days were the calm conditions when the wind was not strong enough to stir up the stagnant air, in fact there were four days when the anemometer was stationary for many hours and a maximum air movement, couldn’t call it a gust, was in single figures.

There was a dramatic change from the 24th as the fifth named storm of the season arrived, called Storm Éowyn. This storm was caused by Arctic Air over North America merging with warm, moist tropical air from the Bay of Mexico together producing a strong temperature contrast fuelling a very powerful Jet Stream running at over 250mph. This deepened exceptionally quickly and dropped to a significant low pressure of 948mb in Mid-Atlantic on it way to the UK.

Storm Éowyn was quickly followed two days later by Storm Herminia, named by the Spanish Met Office. This arrived with a vengeance on the 26th with torrential rain followed by squall lines during the evening and through into the 27th and wind gusting up to 38mph. The daily precipitation of 26.8mm included hail at 07.47 early on the 27th. The centre of the storm moved very slowly across Ireland then the UK that maintained the disturbed weather for another twenty-four hours.

We had a glancing blow from Storm Ivo on the 29th that was far south over northern France, just gave us a blustery day with rain no closer than Salisbury on its northerly track.

We have had five named storms this year in the season that runs from September to the following August. The previous year of 2023/2024 gave us 12 named storms. In the UK, storms are named by the UK Met Office, in collaboration with the Irish Met Service and Dutch Met Service with names chosen from a public suggestion list, excluding letters like Q, U, X, Y and Z. Storms are listed alphabetically when the final section has been made. Storms are named when a deep depression is likely to cause significant impacts with strong winds, heavy rain or snow.

The letters Q, U, X, Y and Z are never used to name storms due to the paucity of names that begin with these letters. It is only recently that the Met Office started naming storms, the first year was 2015. The idea of naming storms was to improve communication about severe weather by making it easier for the public to track and understand the potential impacts of a specific storm.

The month finished with a ridge of high pressure giving us a fine sunny day on the 30th.

January was much colder than the long-term average being 1.0C below average, interestingly that applied both to the average maximum and average minimum. Analysis shows that there were 19 days when the maximum was below average and 17 nights below average. There was an extremely cold day on the 4th when the thermometer did not rise above 0.8C with the coldest night occurring in the early hours of the 11th when the thermometer dropped to -7.5C. It was the coldest January since 2010, which was a significant 2.2C colder.

Snow was observed falling on 4 days, fog was seen in the morning on 3 days and small hail fell on one day.

The monthly rainfall of 117.6mm was 131% of the long-term average or+28mm.

Highest UV light for two months

After a very welcome dry morning with almost continuous sunshine, fluffy clouds built up after 12.00 on Thursday, thicker after 15.00, that began to limit the sunshine, as a result the maximum of 7.2C was logged at 13.07 being 0.1C below average for late January. During the evening the thermometer fell away under clear skies to a minimum of 1.2C at 23.01 being 0.1C below average. Just before midnight clouds began to thicken ahead of an approaching weather front that saw the thermometer do an about turn and rise again, reaching 5.3C at 08.00. Rain triggered the automatic rain gauge at 02.15, ceasing just after 06.00, amounting to 5.3mm that took the monthly total to 117.6mm being 131% of my 40-year average or + 28mm. It was the wettest January after 2016 when almost double that quantity fell when 219.1mm of precipitation was recorded.

The UV level rose to 1.1 at its peak, still in the low category, but it is only January when the sun’s strength is very weak. It was the highest reading since 14th November.

Friday revealed the back edge of the weather front with total cloud cover. The wind today will initially come from the northwest but back into the north mid-afternoon. This will be due to the barometric pressure building again as a ridge eases in from the anticyclone centred close to the Azores, reaching across to the far Continent, as the weather front eases away to the east. The barometric pressure reading of 1021.6mb was logged at 08.00 being the highest pressure since the 18th.

After three storms in a week we hope for more settled weather ahead. However, in its three month outlook, the Met Office says further westerly winds from the Atlantic will likely bring more storms than usual in February, March and April, but thankfully the outlook does not necessarily mean stormy conditions will prevail over the whole three months.

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